"The objective of this paper is to investigate the economic and fiscal impact of road infrastructure investment in Portugal, focusing on the effects for each region of both local investments and investments in other regions. We estimate VAR models for the national economy as well as for each of the five administrative regions in the country.
Empirical results suggest that investment in road infrastructures has been a powerful instrument to increase private investment, new permanent jobs and to promote long-term growth in all regions. More importantly, investment in road infrastructure, both at the aggregate level and for each one of the five administrative regions, generates fiscal effects that largely exceed the initial investment itself. Accordingly, there is no trade off in the long-term between the potentially positive economic effects and the potentially negative budgetary effects of such investments, i.e., both economic and budgetary effects are positive.
As a corollary, policies that would reduce current road investment as a response to the current budgetary concerns will result in lower long-term growth as well as worse future budgetary conditions."
As a corollary, policies that would reduce current road investment as a response to the current budgetary concerns will result in lower long-term growth as well as worse future budgetary conditions."
Alfredo M. Pereira (Department of Economics, College of William and Mary);
Jorge M. Andraz (Faculdade de Economia, Universidade do Algarve) .
Keywords: public investment, road transportation infrastructure, regional spillovers, Portugal
JEL: C32 H54 R53; Date: 2006-07-13
URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cwm:wpaper:33&r=pbe
(resumo de “working paper”; nep-edu, 2006)
Ps: podendo parecer descabida a inserção neste “jornal de parede” desta referência, esclarece-se que a intenção foi trazer para aqui resultados de investigação científica relativos a um tema que se vem discutindo muito na praça pública, a mais das vezes, de forma bastante desqualificada, mesmo quando os intervenientes (universitários) deveriam fazer prova de seriedade na abordagem do assunto; isto é, tem-se dito e escrito muitas “blasfémias”.
(resumo de “working paper”; nep-edu, 2006)
Ps: podendo parecer descabida a inserção neste “jornal de parede” desta referência, esclarece-se que a intenção foi trazer para aqui resultados de investigação científica relativos a um tema que se vem discutindo muito na praça pública, a mais das vezes, de forma bastante desqualificada, mesmo quando os intervenientes (universitários) deveriam fazer prova de seriedade na abordagem do assunto; isto é, tem-se dito e escrito muitas “blasfémias”.
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